Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.164807 0.185934 0.208182 0.233303 0.260824 0.290002 0.323223
2025-04-20 0.137801 0.166460 0.198267 0.236002 0.279353 0.327401 0.384477
2025-04-27 0.120539 0.154455 0.193823 0.242493 0.300620 0.367375 0.449371
2025-05-04 0.104727 0.141721 0.186460 0.243858 0.314793 0.398811 0.505001
2025-05-11 0.093744 0.133302 0.182937 0.248733 0.332503 0.434380 0.566295
2025-05-18 0.085598 0.127381 0.181590 0.255585 0.352302 0.472665 0.631802
2025-05-25 0.075611 0.117804 0.174409 0.253939 0.360581 0.496273 0.679280
2025-06-01 0.067571 0.109978 0.168696 0.253440 0.369773 0.520811 0.728194
2025-06-08 0.060561 0.102841 0.163190 0.252537 0.377927 0.543803 0.775351
2025-06-15 0.056321 0.099335 0.162408 0.257896 0.394490 0.578121 0.838085
2025-06-22 0.051160 0.093867 0.158256 0.257987 0.403436 0.602154 0.887451
2025-06-29 0.046455 0.088629 0.153973 0.257448 0.411187 0.624488 0.934811
2025-07-06 0.041989 0.083469 0.149593 0.256722 0.418937 0.647536 0.984590
2025-07-13 0.038794 0.080126 0.147770 0.259672 0.432049 0.678395 1.045972
2025-07-20 0.036733 0.078547 0.148617 0.266703 0.451384 0.718575 1.121421
2025-07-27 0.033807 0.075099 0.146103 0.268188 0.462248 0.746702 1.180324
2025-08-03 0.031829 0.073199 0.146008 0.273458 0.478981 0.783723 1.252768
2025-08-10 0.030371 0.072134 0.147231 0.280859 0.499182 0.826287 1.334138
2025-08-17 0.027600 0.068192 0.143113 0.279084 0.504731 0.847009 1.383892
2025-08-24 0.025277 0.064894 0.139878 0.278546 0.512097 0.870501 1.438095
2025-08-31 0.023112 0.061678 0.136534 0.277572 0.518595 0.892689 1.490689
2025-09-07 0.021996 0.060598 0.137075 0.283357 0.536275 0.932406 1.570345
2025-09-14 0.020281 0.057995 0.134518 0.283456 0.544432 0.957429 1.628158